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In the Spotlight
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Central banks and inflation are the two main actors in a play not seen in decades. After many unexpected twists and turns, inflation has continued to be a dominant theme, fueled by tight labor markets, supply chain dynamics, and geopolitical tensions. In the US, the Fed has credibly embarked on policy tightening to rein in price pressures. Elsewhere, other major central banks also stand ready to "catch" inflation, though with different policy paths relative to the US.
Long considered a key pillar of wealth creation, home ownership in the United States has shown its teeth as mortgage rates have more than doubled over the previous twelve months. In our estimate, servicing the costs of owning a home in today’s market has increased by 71% from the year prior. Despite this lack of affordability, we believe the housing market will bend, not break, as challenged supply will be supportive of home prices.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Freddie Mac, and Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
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