Tight labor markets and persistent inflation have invited an aggressive policy path, leaving investors worried about the Fed’s ability to engineer a soft landing. Rates have re-priced and parts of the yield curve have inverted. Yet, we remain constructive on the macro buffers—abundant wealth, high labor demand, and strong spending power—to withstand an economic slowdown and defend corporate earnings. Importantly, while curve inversions are a useful guide, we believe recessionary signals are most powerful when evaluated against a collection of indicators.