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January 30, 2018 | Macro Insights

2018 New Heights, New Risks

Where Should You Invest in 2018?

2018 has had an eventful start. Markets reached new highs only to be followed by record drops, companies are adjusting to new US tax legislation and tension continues to grow over trade. So where should you invest? In a live roundtable, our senior portfolio managers discussed global economic growth, hints of rising inflation and expected central bank rate hikes. Below, we present highlights from the live discussion.

Expansion Set to Continue

Neill Nuttall, Co-CIO, Global Portfolio Solutions, says the synchronized expansion will continue in 2018.

GSAMLive Recap: Discussion

Rates to Rise at a Faster Pace

Jonathan Beinner, CIO and Co-Head, Global Fixed Income and Liquidity Solutions discusses the pace of global monetary policy.

GSAMLive Recap: Expansion Set to Continue

Growth Exists, Overseas

Steven M. Barry, Chief Investment Officer, Fundamental Equity, GSAM says Europe and Emerging Markets are offering more growth opportunities than the US.

GSAMLive Recap: Growth Exists, Overseas

What Does This Mean for Investors?

The panel discusses where they see opportunities and risks across all asset classes.

GSAMLive Recap: What Does This Mean for Investors?

Inflation is the Missing Ingredient

Jonathan Beinner believes it’s on the horizon and discusses how to position your bond portfolio.

GSAMLive Recap: Inflation is the Missing Ingredient

Economic Cycle: At the End or in Overtime?

The panel discusses the economic cycle, the impact of US tax reform and the depth of a possible correction.

GSAMLive Recap: Economic Cycle


Investment Strategy
Weathering Heights: How to Invest in 2018

Can equities continue to rise from their current heights? Investors ask us this question more than any other and our answer remains yes.

Valuations are high relative to history but the macro environment is remarkably benign for financial markets and valuations should be judged in that context.

We think equity markets will be carried to new highs by a supportive macro environment in 2018. Headwinds are present though. The US economy is at risk of overheating, tighter financial conditions could slow the European recovery and Chinese growth stimulus seems likely to moderate following the 2017 Party Congress. Geopolitical risks related to North Korea or US trade relations could flare up at any time.

How can investors weather the heights in asset valuations and the potential risks in 2018? 

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