As society re-emerges into a post-pandemic world, we see old complications and obstacles encompassing the macroeconomic and geopolitical landscape. Higher vaccination rates have eased worries, but rising inflation and the effect it will have on monetary policy are now top of mind. As the Russia-Ukraine conflict and financial policy uncertainty raise concerns around credit and equity volatility, investor demand remains high for yield-enhancing strategies across the risk curve in fixed income, equities, and private assets.
This year’s title, Re-emergence: Inflation, Yields, and Uncertainty, underscores the ever changing environment in which investment decisions are being made. Our key findings indicate that global insurers plan to maintain a risk-on investment approach, with increased allocations to private equity, green bonds, and middle market corporate loans. This year’s survey identifies market outlooks and trends and highlights respondents’ views on future investment opportunities and critical investment considerations. These include yield optimization, capital efficiency, and Environmental, Social & Governance (ESG) factors.
In a sharp reversal from prior years, insurers now see rising inflation and tighter monetary policy as the largest threats to their portfolios. Amid strong wage growth and strong employment gains, the easy monetary policies of the pandemic-era are unwound and expected rate hikes are top of mind.
In 2020 and 2021, our survey respondents shared a pessimistic view regarding investment opportunities; however, 2022 respondents are more optimistic, with 63% saying the investment landscape was either the same or improving.
Investment Opportunity Landscape (Global, %)
Respondents remain focused on yield-enhancing asset classes, as seen by continued interest in private market opportunities. Although reinvestment rates have begun to rise in 2022, insurers expressed continued interest in alternative investments as a driver of returns.
For the sixth consecutive year, insurers indicated that Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) factors and impact investing are primary investment considerations. EMEA continues to lead as the region with the highest percentage of respondents noting ESG as a primary consideration, as it has since 2018.
Goldman Sachs Insurance Asset Management’s 11th annual global insurance investment survey provides valuable insights from Chief Investment Officers (CIOs) and Chief Financial Officers (CFOs) about the macroeconomic environment, return expectations, asset allocation decisions, portfolio construction and industry capitalization. We received responses from 271 CIOs and senior investment professionals, 50 CFOs and senior finance managers and 7 individuals who serve as both CIO and CFO.
This year, our survey includes insurance companies that invest over $13 trillion in balance sheet assets, which represents around half of the balance sheet assets for the global insurance sector. The participating companies represent a broad cross section of the industry in terms of size, lines of business and geography, as the table below illustrates.
Disclosures
THIS MATERIAL DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OR SOLICITATION IN ANY JURISDICTION WHERE OR TO ANY PERSON TO WHOM IT WOULD BE UNAUTHORIZED OR UNLAWFUL TO DO SO.
Views expressed discussed are those of survey respondents, compiled by GSAM as of March 4, 2022. Views and opinions expressed are for informational purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation by GSAM to buy, sell, or hold any security. Views and opinions are current as of the date of this presentation and may be subject to change, they should not be construed as investment advice.
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Economic and market forecasts presented herein reflect a series of assumptions and judgments as of the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. These forecasts do not take into account the specific investment objectives, restrictions, tax and financial situation or other needs of any specific client. Actual data will vary and may not be reflected here. These forecasts are subject to high levels of uncertainty that may affect actual performance. Accordingly, these forecasts should be viewed as merely representative of a broad range of possible outcomes. These forecasts are estimated, based on assumptions, and are subject to significant revision and may change materially as economic and market conditions change. Goldman Sachs has no obligation to provide updates or changes to these forecasts. Case studies and examples are for illustrative purposes only.
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Date of first use: April 4, 2022.
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