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PortfolioStrategy

Portfolio Strategy | Diversifying Portfolios with GSAM PRISM™

Why Does Portfolio Construction Matter?

There are many asset classes available to investors these days, but choosing the right ones for your portfolio can be difficult. Learn more about why portfolio construction matters below.

Investment Strategy
Investors Typically Own What is Most Familiar to Them

Many investors rely on a limited number of assets as they build their portfolios. They tend to think that accessing a range of equity styles - "style box" investing - represents diversification. We believe that the style box approach does not go far enough. The historical returns of many equity style pairs have often been similar to one another.

To see historical results over time, select two styles and see the growth of $10,000.

ASSET CLASS
ANNUALIZED PERFORMANCE
ANNUALIZED VOLATILITY
Make another selection
Value
Blend
Growth
 
Large
Mid
Small
The historical returns of many equity style pairs have often been similar to one another
To see this performance effect across other styles go back and select two more.
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Portfolio Construction

Track Historical Asset Class Performance

US Large Cap Equity
US Aggregate Bonds
Untitled
Bank Loans
Cash
Commodities
Emerging Market Debt
Emerging Market Equity
Hedge Funds
High Yield
International Equity
International Real Estate
International Small Cap Equity
US Aggregate Bonds
US Large Cap Equity
US Municipal
US Real Estate
US Small Cap Equity

Source: GSAM. As of December 31, 2021.

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Emotional Investing

Average Fund Returns (2014-2018)

HIGH SHORTFALL
2.7%
AVERAGE
1.7%
LOW SHORTFALL
1.1%
Source: Morningstar and GSAM. As of December 31, 2018. Asset class return, represented by the Morningstar category return, is the arithmetic average of net returns for each fund in a particular Morningstar asset class. Investor return is the money-weighted return of all funds in a particular Morningstar asset class, and measures how the average investor performed over a period of time by incorporating the impact of fund flows.

Potential Effect of Investor Lag

AMOUNT INVESTED
YEARS INVESTED
HIGH SHORTFALL
(2.7% Investor Lag)
AVERAGE
(1.7% Investor Lag)
LOW SHORTFALL
(1.1% Investor Lag)
Source: Morningstar and GSAM. As of December 31, 2018.

Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary. Shortfall, in this context, is defined as the difference in performance between the Morningstar category return and the asset-weighted investor return.

Risk Managed Investing

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Optimizing Return

Hypothetical Returns of a $1 Million Portfolio (past 20 years)

Traditional
TOTAL RETURN
$3,737,824
VOLATILITY
10.2%
Diversified
TOTAL RETURN
$3,755,342
VOLATILITY
8.4%
Optimized
TOTAL RETURN
$3,879,972
VOLATILITY
7.8%
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What Tools May Help Diversify Portfolios?

With US equities at or near all-time highs, and global interest rates at or near all-time lows, we believe now is a particularly important time to consider diversifying these portions of traditional portfolios. Although specific allocations may vary over time, we view diversification as a long-term effort. Today, for many investors, this may be easier to accomplish than ever. Investors can access a number of diversifying and alternative strategies in broadly available investment tools such as mutual funds and exchange-traded funds.

Home-Country Bias

Diversifying Strategies

Diversifying Investments: A Primary Tool

There are many tools that can potentially be used to diversify a portfolio. A "diversifier" is defined as a complement to an investor's traditional, or core, portfolio. Their risks have tended to diverge from the risks of core equities. Incorporating diversifiers into a well-balanced portfolio potentially enables investors to access several different sources of risk and return.

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Core Strategies

Seek to potentially provide exposure to asset classes that are broadly representative of the market

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Diversifying Strategies

Have the potential to deliver higher returns derived from skilled active management

Result

Potentially more efficient portfolio construction with higher return potential and increased diversification

Diversifiers Explained

Diversifiers are asset classes with attractive return potential and historically lower correlations when compared to core investments such as investment grade fixed income and most equities of developed markets. We believe the diversifiers below can be deployed in search of improved returns or lowered risk, and may help build more balanced portfolios.

Diversification does not protect an investor from market risk and does not ensure a profit. The portfolio risk management process includes an effort to monitor and manage risk, but does not imply low risk. Please see additional asset class risks at the bottom of this page.

See How Diversifying Strategies Might Affect Your Portfolio

Use this tool to explore the potential benefits of adding diversifiers to a hypothetical portfolio.


Alternative Investments

An Effective Tool for Risk

Alternatives are an additional tool that can potentially be used to diversify a portfolio. Alternative strategies may complement an investor’s traditional portfolio by employing tools such as shorting and/or leverage. Incorporating alternatives into a well-diversified portfolio potentially enables investors to access a differentiated source of return, lower the overall risk of their portfolios, and provide shallower drawdowns during market crises.

Traditional
Median 10-Year Returns
7.5%
Median 10-Year Volatility
11.2%
With Alternatives
Median 10-Year Returns
6.6%
Median 10-Year Volatility
8.8%
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See How Alternative Strategies Might Affect Your Portfolio

Use this tool to explore the potential benefits of adding alternatives to a hypothetical portfolio.

Pursuing Your Investment Goals

Learn about how to use the investment tools available to meet your investment goals.

Improving Returns

How Can I Potentially Improve My Long-Term Returns?

We believe one of the most effective ways to build portfolios and aim to achieve long-term objectives is through “core” and “diversifier” portfolio construction. “Core” investments provide a broad foundation comprising of US stocks, large cap international stocks, and global investment grade bonds, while “diversifier” investments, such as emerging markets stocks and high yield bonds, can offer diversification and the potential for higher return.

Source: Goldman Sachs Asset Management/Strategic Advisory Solutions Portfolio Strategy. Median returns and volatilities are the 50th percentile of returns and volatilities over 10-year rolling periods from January 1, 2001 to December 31, 2018. Past performance does not guarantee future results, which may vary.

Reducing Uncertainty

What Can I Do to Help Improve the Chances of Meeting My Goals?

We believe risk, or uncertainty, can be interpreted as the variety of events that can occur instead of the expected outcome. Increasing levels of risk have the potential to expose portfolios to more significant losses, and can affect how long a portfolio may take to achieve a desired outcome. Given an investor’s understandable desire to avoid losses, we believe alternative strategies and their potential effects on portfolio risk and return are worth understanding.

Source: Bloomberg and GSAM. Analysis is based on chart data from January 1990, earliest common inception, to December 2018. Alternative strategies refers to the HFRI Fund of Funds Composite Index (HFRI FoF). In the chart, upside/downside capture ratio is a measure of the degree to which the HFRI FoF Index outperformed or underperformed the S&P 500 Index in times of positive/negative market performance. HFRI and related indices are trademarks and service marks of Hedge Fund Research, Inc. (“HFR”) which has no affiliation with GSAM. Information regarding HFR indices was obtained from HFR’s website and other public sources and is provided for comparison purposes only.

What Steps Can I Take to Reduce the Risk of Depleting My Savings in Retirement?

Low yields and longer lifespans raise the risk that Americans may outlive their savings. Adding a variable annuity and the potential benefits associated with its lifetime income feature may help reduce that risk for retirees who need income now and those that can wait. And in a worst case scenario of portfolio depletion, the lifetime income that annuities offer would continue – by a minimum of $7500 per year, assuming a $500,000 starting portfolio with 30% in a variable annuity making a 5% distribution.

Source: GSAM as of December 31, 2019. Assumes a $500,000 initial portfolio with 30% allocated to a variable annuity (VA) where applicable. Portfolio allocation is 17.5% Russell 1000 Value, 17.5% Russell 1000 Growth, 5% Russell Midcap Value, 5% Russell Midcap Growth, 10% Russell 2000, 15% MSCI EAFE, and 30% Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index. 1,000,000 simulations were run for each scenario, drawing 30 independent 12-month periods from July 1995 to December 2019 and simulating the portfolio’s hypothetical performance with a monthly withdrawal taken from the portfolio. The percentage shown in the table above is the percentage of simulations for which the portfolio was unable to provide the required monthly withdrawal before the end of the 30-year timeframe. The monthly withdrawal required for each 12-month period is grown monthly based on an assumed annual inflation of 2.4% (30-year average), less the monthly distribution provided by the VA where applicable. The VA’s monthly distribution is modeled on the performance of the same portfolio. 221427-OTU-1298979
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